Truly Inconvenient
The joke has been made: the delegates have met to determine what is to be done to curb carbon emissions and have now left for their own respective countries in their own respective private jets.
The threat of global warming first caught my attention with Al Gore’s “The Inconvenient Truth”, but just how much truth is contained in the accusation of man-made global warming?
My answer is, none. I am not saying there is nothing to cleaning up and taking care of the earth, I am saying there is nothing to the hype put out on global warming. In all of world history the earth has ever oscillated between cooling and warming. Today is no different.
But isn’t the scientific consensus - man is contributing to global warming? That’s what Al Gore’s “The Inconvenient Truth” proclaims. Al Gore’s source was from a Naomi Oresky study. She searched databases of scientific publications and says she found a majority consensus in favor of human causation of global warming. The only problem is when we look at these same databases, only one percent endorse this “consensus view” and three times as many outright reject or doubt it. Over 19,700 scientists have likewise come out saying they reject the notion.
The greenhouse gases, or infrared gases keep the earth warm. Without these gases the average temperature on earth would be well below zero degrees Farenheit. Water vapor accounts for 95% of all infrared absorption in our atmosphere. Carbon Dioxide (the main “culprit” of global warming) is far second at 3.6%. No matter how important greenhouse gases are, without some offsetting effect, global temperatures would average around 140 degrees Farenheit. This offsetting effect is weather (wind, evaporation, precipitation, storms, etc.) Both the green house and the offsetting effect must be taken into account if we are to really see the impact humans have on global warming.
Humans (burning of fossil fuels included) add about 7 gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. That may sound like an astronomical amount, but to put it into perspective, the rest of the biosphere (the rest of nature) sends 1,900 gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere every year and the oceans put up 36,000 gigatons of CO2 each year. That puts us at about one-tenth of a percent. When you put that in with the fact that CO2 only accounts for about 3.6% of all infrared absorption you come out with the total warming effect as 99.7% natural and at most 1/2800% man-made. Weather eliminates 58% of the warming effect of all green house gases which brings mans contributions to global warming to 1/67000%. That’s a less than one 700th of a degree Farenheit difference.
So where does this global warming come from? Variations of solar winds could account for 75% to nearly all observed warming. But how I am not as much concerned, we have survived an ice age, we can survive a heat wave, if we encounter one. The question I would rather answer is how could they lie to us and how could we let them deceive us so easily? Listen to their own words. Then tell me if they are worthy of your trust.
“For the sake of promoting the environmentalists agenda, scientists have to offer up scary scenarios, making simplified dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts we might have, cautiously deciding the right balance between being effective and being honest. I hope that means both.” ~Steven Schnider
“In the past, action usually awaited the confirmation of theory by hard evidence, now in a widening sphere of decisions, the cost of error are so exorbitant that we need to act on theory alone, which is to say on prediction alone. Scientists must disavow the certainty and precision they normally insist on. Scientists need to become connoisseurs and philosophers of uncertainty. The incurable uncertainty of our predicament far from serving to reassure us, should fill us with unease and goad us to action.” ~Jonathan Shell
Jared Williams
The threat of global warming first caught my attention with Al Gore’s “The Inconvenient Truth”, but just how much truth is contained in the accusation of man-made global warming?
My answer is, none. I am not saying there is nothing to cleaning up and taking care of the earth, I am saying there is nothing to the hype put out on global warming. In all of world history the earth has ever oscillated between cooling and warming. Today is no different.
But isn’t the scientific consensus - man is contributing to global warming? That’s what Al Gore’s “The Inconvenient Truth” proclaims. Al Gore’s source was from a Naomi Oresky study. She searched databases of scientific publications and says she found a majority consensus in favor of human causation of global warming. The only problem is when we look at these same databases, only one percent endorse this “consensus view” and three times as many outright reject or doubt it. Over 19,700 scientists have likewise come out saying they reject the notion.
The greenhouse gases, or infrared gases keep the earth warm. Without these gases the average temperature on earth would be well below zero degrees Farenheit. Water vapor accounts for 95% of all infrared absorption in our atmosphere. Carbon Dioxide (the main “culprit” of global warming) is far second at 3.6%. No matter how important greenhouse gases are, without some offsetting effect, global temperatures would average around 140 degrees Farenheit. This offsetting effect is weather (wind, evaporation, precipitation, storms, etc.) Both the green house and the offsetting effect must be taken into account if we are to really see the impact humans have on global warming.
Humans (burning of fossil fuels included) add about 7 gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. That may sound like an astronomical amount, but to put it into perspective, the rest of the biosphere (the rest of nature) sends 1,900 gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere every year and the oceans put up 36,000 gigatons of CO2 each year. That puts us at about one-tenth of a percent. When you put that in with the fact that CO2 only accounts for about 3.6% of all infrared absorption you come out with the total warming effect as 99.7% natural and at most 1/2800% man-made. Weather eliminates 58% of the warming effect of all green house gases which brings mans contributions to global warming to 1/67000%. That’s a less than one 700th of a degree Farenheit difference.
So where does this global warming come from? Variations of solar winds could account for 75% to nearly all observed warming. But how I am not as much concerned, we have survived an ice age, we can survive a heat wave, if we encounter one. The question I would rather answer is how could they lie to us and how could we let them deceive us so easily? Listen to their own words. Then tell me if they are worthy of your trust.
“For the sake of promoting the environmentalists agenda, scientists have to offer up scary scenarios, making simplified dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts we might have, cautiously deciding the right balance between being effective and being honest. I hope that means both.” ~Steven Schnider
“In the past, action usually awaited the confirmation of theory by hard evidence, now in a widening sphere of decisions, the cost of error are so exorbitant that we need to act on theory alone, which is to say on prediction alone. Scientists must disavow the certainty and precision they normally insist on. Scientists need to become connoisseurs and philosophers of uncertainty. The incurable uncertainty of our predicament far from serving to reassure us, should fill us with unease and goad us to action.” ~Jonathan Shell
Jared Williams
